It occurs to me that now that Iowa and New Hampshire have produced an inconclusive result at best, that this thing is going to drag on through Super Duper Tuesday. Weirdly, for the first time in my memory, Connecticut actually matters in a presidential primary. Not very much, mind you, but we matter.
To that end, Capitol Watch reports that Hillary’s campaign in-state has a distinctly Fairfield County feel. Which doesn’t sound so bad until one looks at the cartogram of Connecticut:
That area with all the BIG squares near New York is where Hillary’s new steering committee is coming from. Which begs the question: does Obama have a chance to win here if Hillary has strong support in western CT? And what about Rudy, McCain and even Romney?
Interesting times.
12 responses so far ↓
We should have kept our original date.
If nothing is settled on Feb. 5th (a good possibility), those states, no matter how small, holding their contests after that date will be very important.
DeStefano endorsed Obama earlier in the week and it is rumored that Obama may hold an appearance in New Haven. Could that put him over the top with CT Dems?
We should have been ahead of New Hampshire if you ask me. (CT is more diverse and more cutting edge than NH.)
Anyway I’m happy to have a vote that matters. Add in the Lamont/Lieberman battle, and that’s two cycles in a row which is a hell of a departure from a decade of boring politics.
>>Could that put him over the top with CT Dems?
Undoubtedly!
By the time it’s all over can we expect him to do as well as Lamont ?
Ghengis
Nice work
Can you do this by registered voter (D,R, U) that would be more telling than popuation for election purposes.
BTW, new to commenting, but long time reader.
Thanks
Unfortunately for us, CT is still just the campaign’s ATM and the ATM lives in Fairfield County. With all of the larger states in play of FEB 5, I doubt we will see either candidate except as a flyby other than fundraisers. In a way, it is too bad that with all the names on the CT DEM ballot, only two will probably be alive on FEB 5. With Richardson out today (according to the AP), and Edwards on life support (federal matching funds), I suspect there will be only two standing by the end of the month. The big question is whether Clinton can sell her ‘change requires experience’ message to counter the Obama “change” requires little experience message. Obama is certainly a spell binding stump speaker and able to generate crowds. Those crowds generated votes in the Iowa caucus but not in the New Hampshire primary. The next few weeks should give us a lot to talk and blog about. And I haven’t even touched the Rs who are still too many to concentrate.
Ned Lamont endorsed Obama. It’s on his website.
conncon said:
Now just wait one minute….
Since Tong was the first to endorse Obama, isn’t he slighting him by not going to Stamford?
GOPer said:
Does that mean he’ll win the primary by a nose and lose the election by… a leg? Great!
The Courant has picked up the Lamont endorsement: http://www.courant.com/news/politics/hcu-lamontobama-0110,0,2434205.story?coll=hc_tab01_layout
wtfdnucsailor said:
Clinton has to sell that she actually represents change.
Obama’s running for Miss America, and everyone will probably realize this by Feb. 5th. “HOPE!” … which requires alot of energy - but his vision for World Peace and Having Hope will get old. He still has no substance and I think the Clinton campaign is going to step up these points soon.
As for Connecticut, I predict it will likely be a split between supporting Guiliani or McCain. Guiliani has mentioned Connecticut a few times already and he’ll undoubtedly visit once. His game is on the largest states on Feb 4th.
As for the other candidates, I’m sure they’ll stay away. Huckabee has no reason to come here. He’ll play best in the South and West. Hunter might only if he tries to play a military crowd, but his home state is on the line Feb 5th. Romney could try if he thinks CT will know him as well as New Hampshirites, but there’s too much at stake for him to stop there for that day. Fred Thompson likewise wouldn’t waste his time here either. Ron Paul could have support, but I’m sure he too will go elsewhere.
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